2nd Winter Storm 2/16 Maryland to Massachusettes (old 2/13-2/14)
byon 02-11-2013 at 12:06 PM (511 Views)
2/15 9AM - UPDATE on possible upper middle-atlantic/new england storm late 2/15 into 2/16 - scroll down to the 2nd page of comments for detailed updates.
Here's my general interpretation of what's going on..and what's going wrong for NJ/NYC.
The energy is all there, but the southern stream is too fast. Otherwise, you get a major coastal low if these players were synced up. They're not. Maybe for eastern New England.
(old entry below)
Significant Winter Storm, 2/13-2/14, MD to Mass.
Models look well sold on a significant snowstorm MD--->NJ-->MA
PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH IN
THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. A CHANCE OF SNOW
AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
To me, seems like the NWS and NOAA/HPC are North West "outliers" to all three models at this time.
Seems to be too good model agreement this far out...to be so.