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SuperYooper

Weather March 7th

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by on 03-08-2013 at 01:45 AM (3718 Views)
Three things I'm certain of:

1. March means spring for everyone in the US minus the UP.

2. Kim Jong Un and Dennis Rodman are meant for each other.

3. PDan has substituted his pecker for his Twitter account.

As I normally do I will give you the UP synopsis of weather.

But now is not that time...I have a few things to go over.

First off, I'VE BEEN BUSY PEOPLE. With the passing of back surgery, I now am allowed to do everything that I was not able to before. This. Is. A. Problem. I liked having free time. I enjoyed having someone put my socks on in the morning. Carry the laundry basket? NO! Dig a fort for the kids to play in? ARE YOU CRAZY!? Now, with my back at almost 100%, I am expected to do things at work too! Gone are the days of blankly staring at paperwork...now I have to put displays together and talk to customers. WTF? I'm also supposed to get rid of my Chris Farley body, one I have worked hard on for a year...all that promise gone....

Back to the UP...snowfall for the NWS in Marquette is 136.5 inches, approximately 25 inches under a normal year and almost a foot under last years snowfall. This is the point in my story where we say "WHAT?" Yes, even though we seemed to have snow every day from mid-January through February, we are still down. This will not hurt us badly though since the snowpack is much thicker than last year. At 32 inches of snow, we will be able to refill Superior nicely but not provide much in the way of help to the other lakes.

Just as important snowpack is for filling up the big Lake, so is regular precipitation. NOAA has a prediction of regular precip for March but a WELL ABOVE prediction for MAM.




And what about temps? NOAA pegged the UP pretty well last year in their predictions. Check out their March forecast from 2012.



What did that translate into? Records falling across the board. Daily high temperatures on the 11th, 14th, 16th THROUGH the 21st and tied a record hi for the 24th. For the first time, EVER, we got above 80 degrees in March. EVER. So thats 9 record hi's. We also racked up 10 record warm low temps. Crazy, I know. Snowbanks were gone mid-March and I still didn't get my greenhouse up in time.

This time, not so lucky for temps in March. Average temperatures there. The real action happens April-May when we make up for the lack of warmth.




So what does this all mean? Well, the GW trumpets won't be silenced...hell, they won't even take a breath. What I find is most people don't like change, even though their lives are full of it. Earth has gone through a lot more warm cycles than cold and this is just a part of our new world. As for the UP, that groundhog doesn't know ...spring is staying "just around the corner" for a while.






AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
626 PM EST THU MAR 7 2013

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 427 PM EST THU MAR 7 2013

LARGE SCALE FEATURES HEIGHT RISES THROUGH FRIDAY WELL OUT AHEAD OF
DEEP TROUGH OVER SOUTHWEST CONUS AND JUST DOWNSTREAM OF WEAKER
NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS NORTHWEST ONTARIO. AT THE
SFC...RIDGE NORTHWEST ONTARIO ACROSS UPR LAKES MOVES INTO QUEBEC AND
LOWER LAKES ON FRIDAY. ALREADY SEEING IMPACTS OF THE RIDGE THIS AFTN
AS CLOUDS OVER WEST AND CNTRL CWA HAVE MELTED AWAY ALONG FOR ALL
AREAS EXCEPT ALONG LK SUPERIOR WHERE WEAK NORTHERLY FLOW PERSISTS.
FLURRIES OVER NCNTRL HAVE ALL BUT ENDED AS INVERSION HAS LOWERED BLO
3KFT. CLOUDS OVER THE EAST ARE PERSISTING AS THAT AREA IS BEING
HELPED ALONG BY ADDITIONAL LARGER SCALE MOISTURE BLO H85 SEEN
UPSTREAM ON 12Z MOOSINEE ONTARIO SOUNDING. EXPECT LOW CLOUDS TO
GENERALLY HOLD OVER THE EAST TONIGHT...BUT ELSEWHERE LIGHT/VARIABLE
WINDS WILL LIMIT ANY FLOW OFF LAKES AND LEAD TO ONLY SCT LOW CLOUDS.
MID CLOUDS INCREASE LATER TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AHEAD OF NORTHERN
STREAM WAVE AND ASSOCIATED SFC LOW MOVING INTO NORTHWEST ONTARIO
LATE IN THE DAY. AS WINDS BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY...EXPECT THE LOW
CLOUDS IN THE EAST TO DIMINISH BY AFTN. SOUNDINGS DO NOT SUPPORT
MUCH IN WAY OF LOW CLOUDS ON FRIDAY FOR ALL BUT FAR WEST IN THE
AFTN. OTHERWISE...SINCE BEST PERIOD OF MID CLOUDS WILL BE IN THE
MORNING...HAVE SCALED BACK SKY COVER FOR ALL BUT FAR WEST FRIDAY
AFTN. CHANGES LINE UP WELL WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES AT GRB AND APX.

MIN TEMPS TONIGHT COULD BE TROUBLE...ESPECIALLY IF WE REMAIN VOID OF
MUCH CLOUD COVER INTO THE EVENING. PWATS STILL FAIRLY LOW...AROUND
60 PCT OF NORMAL...SO THERE IS RADITIONAL COOLING POTENTIAL SINCE
WINDS AT LEAST START OUT THE NIGHT ON THE LIGHTER SIDE. SOUTH WINDS
DO INCREASE LATE ESPECIALLY 950-900MB. FOR MIN TEMPS...WENT NEAR ZERO
OVER INTERIOR AREAS BTWN SAWYER AND SENEY AND WELL TO NORTH OF
ESCANABA TO MANISTIQUE. ELSEWHERE MINS SHOULD FALL TO AROUND 10
ABOVE INTO LOWER TEENS. WARMER EXCEPTION AROUND 20 DEGREES WILL BE
OVER FAR EAST CWA GIVEN PERSISTENT LOW CLOUDS. WARMER TEMPS ON THE
WAY FOR FRIDAY. MODELS HAVE SHOWN THIS FOR A LONG WHILE NOW. LOW
INVERSION SHOWING UP ON MODELS MAY BE REAL...BUT COULD BE FIGMENT OF
MODELS OVER-FORECASTING OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE. MIXING TO 925-900MB
EASILY SUPPORTS HIGHS WELL INTO THE 30S EVEN WITH A BIT OF MID
CLOUDS. WITH ENOUGH SUNSHINE THOUGH...LOW-MID 40S CERTAINLY POSSIBLE
GIVEN HIGHER SUN ANGLE AND LOWER ALBEDO DUE TO THE DENSE FORESTS. WE
ARE OVERDUE FOR THIS TYPE OF TEMPERATURE EFFECT THAT IS SEEN EVERY
SPRING.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 427 PM EST THU MAR 7 2013

FRIDAY NIGHT...

INCREASING SRLY FLOW BTWN THE DEVELOPING TROUGH OVER
THE PLAINS AND HIGH PRES SLIDING INTO THE ERN GREAT LAKES WILL BRING
INCREASING CLOUDS AND KEEP TEMPS FROM FALLING OFF TOO FAR. PREFERRED
THE SLOWER ARRIVAL OF PCPN TOWARD THE CWA...PER ECMWF/NAM GIVEN
RELATIVELY 925-750 MB LAYER EXPECTED.

SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...

MODELS WERE SIMILAR IN DEPICTING A NRN STREAM MID LEVEL TROUGH
MOVING THROUGH NRN ONTARIO AND THE NRN GREAT LAKES WITH A LIMITED
AMOUNT OF PHASING WITH A SRN STREAM SHORTWAVE ADVANCING FROM THE
CNTRL PLAINS. A BROAD AREA OF ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL BRING PCPN INTO
THE WRN CWA DURING BY MIDDAY AND CNTRL UPPER MI DURING THE AFTERNOON.
CONSENSUS MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND LIFT JUSTIFIES CATEGORICAL POPS BY
SATURDAY EVENING.

THE ECMWF REMAINED MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH THE NRN STREAM TROUGH
COMPARED TO THE GFS/GEM WHILE THE NAM WAS THE MOST AGGRESSIVE IN
PHASING THE TWO SYSTEMS. AS A RESULT...THE ECMWF KEEPS MORE COLD AIR
OVER THE REGION AND BRINGS THE COLD AIR FROM THE WEST IN FASTER BY
LATE SAT NIGHT INTO SUN. THE MODEL DIFFERENCES COMPLICATE AN ALREADY
COMPLEX PCPN TYPE FCST. SO...ONLY LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN PCPN
TYPE DETAILS.

THE POTENTIAL REMAINS FOR A SIGNIFICANT (1C TO 3C) WARM LAYER THAT
WOULD BE ENOUGH TO CREATE SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN ABOVE A LINGERING
COLD LAYER. HOWEVER...EXPECT ENOUGH INSOLATION TO BOOST TEMPS MAINLY
ABOVE FREEZING BY AFTERNOON. GROUND TEMPS MAY BE SLOWER TO RESPOND
CREATING POTENTIAL FOR SOME GROUND ICING ON UNTREATED SURFACES. ANY
SNOWFALL SHOULD ONLY AMOUNT TO A COUPLE INCHES GIVEN LOW SLR VALUES
AOB 10/1.

SUNDAY INTO SUN NIGHT...MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE IN ON NW WINDS AS THE
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION CHANGING ANY MIXED PCPN TO SNOW. WITH
STRONG QVECTOR DIV/SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THE NRN STREAM TROUGH AND 850
MB TEMPS ONLY AROUND -11C...ANY LES POTENTIAL WILL ALSO BE MINIMAL.

MON-THU...THE ECMWF AND GFS/GEFS WERE SIMILAR IN BRUSHING THE AREA
WITH A WEAK CLIPPER SHRTWV MON NIGHT INTO TUE. BY TUE INTO WED...THE
ECMWF REMAINS MORE AMPLIFIED WITH THE GREAT LAKES TO NE CONUS TROUGH
COMPARED TO THE GFS. KEPT FCST MORE IN LINE WITH THE PREFERRED
COLDER/ECMWF WHICH WOULD SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR SOME NNW TO NW FLOW
LES TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED.


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Comments

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  1. libgoon's Avatar
    FIRST


    Good to see Ya!!!
  2. PcolaDan's Avatar
    ???
  3. SuperYooper's Avatar
    LMAO Dan...couldn't help it. You love Twitter.....
  4. SuperYooper's Avatar
    I made myself a promise that I would do one joke per person in my "know 3 things"...you just happened to be next and Twitter was the only thing I could come up with.
  5. libgoon's Avatar
    Just a pretty sat image ...and Good night

  6. PcolaDan's Avatar
    I am addicted, I admit it.

    "Hi, my name is Dan, and I do Twitter."
  7. PcolaDan's Avatar
    And you almost hit freezing today.
  8. libgoon's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by PcolaDan
    I am addicted, I admit it.

    "Hi, my name is Dan, and I do Twitter."
    Could be worse , its sat images that my failing ....But ya all know that
  9. MSGAL's Avatar
    ..........YOOPER you are soooooo KRAZY !!!!!!!!!! and I'm glad you are now at 100%.......now git it all done up there............!!!!!

  10. SuperYooper's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by libgoon
    Could be worse , its sat images that my failing ....But ya all know that
    We do but you just gave me a idea for the next blog. Danke.
  11. SuperYooper's Avatar
    Gal, I censored myself on #2...I was going to write "If Kim Jong Un and Dennis Rodman had a baby, I would name it Rainbow Nuke ****er."

    Count yourself blessed.
  12. Landfall2004's Avatar
    OK, someone was just talking about this the other day. Notice the perfect correlation between wind direction and temps. Sorry it didn't print out WIDE instead of LONG.

    10 Day ForecastUpdated: Mar 7, 2013, 6:07pmEST
    Tonight
    Mar 7
    66F
    Observed High
    4:05 pm
    51F
    Clear
    CHANCE OF RAIN:
    0%

    WIND:
    NNW at 10 mph
    Details

    Fri
    Mar 8
    71
    55
    Sunny
    CHANCE OF RAIN:
    0%

    WIND:
    N at 12 mph
    Details


    Sat
    Mar 9
    72
    62
    Mostly Sunny
    CHANCE OF RAIN:
    0%

    WIND:
    NE at 14 mph
    Details


    Sun
    Mar 10
    73
    66
    Partly Cloudy
    CHANCE OF RAIN:
    0%

    WIND:
    E at 14 mph
    Details


    Mon
    Mar 11
    74
    66
    Partly Cloudy
    CHANCE OF RAIN:
    0%

    WIND:
    SE at 15 mph
    Details


    Tue
    Mar 12
    82
    64
    Isolated T-Storms
    CHANCE OF RAIN:
    30%

    WIND:
    SSW at 14 mph
    Details


    Wed
    Mar 13
    77
    64
    Mostly Cloudy
    CHANCE OF RAIN:
    20%

    WIND:
    N at 10 mph
    Details


    Thu
    Mar 14
    74
    63
    Partly Cloudy
    CHANCE OF RAIN:
    20%

    WIND:
    NE at 11 mph
    Details


    Fri
    Mar 15
    74
    63
    Partly Cloudy
    CHANCE OF RAIN:
    10%

    WIND:
    NE at 11 mph
    Details


    Sat
    Mar 16
    74
    62
    Sunny
    CHANCE OF RAIN:
    0%

    WIND:
    NE at 9 mph
  13. libgoon's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by SuperYooper
    We do but you just gave me a idea for the next blog. Danke.
    Why am I worried
  14. libgoon's Avatar
    Only 2nd day in the break in weather so why is is already ****ing me off

  15. FtMyersgal's Avatar
    Thanks for the new blog Yoop! Happy you are back to almost 100% even if you are having your doubts

    Current conditions in Fort Myes

    Temp 48 (9C)
    Humidity 77%
    Wind Speed N 6 mph
    Barometer 30.17 in (1021.8 mb)
    Dewpoint 41 (5C)
    Visibility 10.00 mi
    Wind Chill 45 (7C)

    Today will be sunny with a high around 76 (personally I don't think we will reach 74)
    Low tonite 50. We have been running around 10 lower than our average high and low temps all week. Waiting for the week end warm up! We are out of firewood and MrFMG said he is not purchasing any more this year
  16. libgoon's Avatar
    Looks like no rain again Gal
  17. FtMyersgal's Avatar
    Nope no rain expected for at least a week. High Pressure set up is again a shield
  18. kaiden's Avatar
    Good Morning Everyone. Yoop glad to see that you are on the mend, but sorry that everyone one expects you to work now. I guess that is why I am holding off on my knee replacement.

    Last Update on Mar 8, 6:53 am CST

    Fog/Mist
    36 F(2 C)
    Humidity: 97 %
    Wind Speed: Calm
    Barometer: 30.30" (1026.0 mb)
    Dewpoint: 35 F (2 C)
    Visibility: 2.50 mi.

    Today: Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds to 5 mph shifting to the east in the afternoon.

    Tonight: Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
  19. kaiden's Avatar
    This is kind of long, but it does give the spring flood forecasts.

    HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
    900 AM CST THU MAR 7 2013

    ...2013 SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK FOR SOUTHEAST
    LOUISIANA...SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...

    ...THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING IN SPRING 2013 WILL GENERALLY BE
    ABOVE AVERAGE...

    INTRODUCTION...

    THIS IS THE SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
    SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE AT NEW ORLEANS/BATON ROUGE, LOUISIANA FOR
    SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA, SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI, AND COASTAL
    MISSISSIPPI. THIS PRODUCT IS INTENDED TO OUTLINE CURRENT RIVER AND
    SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS AND TO HIGHLIGHT POTENTIAL SITUATIONS
    THAT WOULD INDUCE FLOODING OR EXACERBATE DROUGHT.

    ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS...

    PRECIPITATION - OVER THE PAST TWO MONTHS, THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
    VALLEY HAS EXPERIENCED SEVERAL PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL. TO DATE,
    PRECIPITATION IS ABOVE NORMAL OVER SOUTH LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI.

    SNOW DEPTH - LITTLE SNOW DEPTH EXISTS OVER MOST OF THE MIDDLE
    MISSISSIPPI AND OHIO RIVER BASINS AND AREAS SOUTHWARD. SIGNIFICANT
    SNOW DEPTHS ARE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE TENNESSEE
    VALLEY, WHERE AMOUNTS RANGED FROM 6 TO 12 INCHES.

    SNOW WATER EQUIVALENT (SWE) - SWE VALUES FOLLOW A SIMILAR TREND TO
    SNOW DEPTH. MOST AREAS THAT REPORTED SNOW DEPTH HAVE SWE VALUES OF
    LESS THAN 1.0 INCH.

    SOIL MOISTURE CONTENTS - CONDITIONS ARE REFLECTIVE OF RECENT
    PRECIPITATION TRENDS. ABOVE NORMAL CONDITIONS EXIST OVER SOUTHEAST
    LOUISIANA AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI.

    FLOODING...
    MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING ON THE LOWER PEARL RIVER AT BOGALUSA AND
    PEARL RIVER IN LOUISIANA. BASED UPON CURRENT TRENDS, FLOODING WILL
    CONTINUE INTO MID-MARCH.


    EXTENDED TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK...

    THE 8-14 DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK ISSUED BY THE NWS CLIMATE
    PREDICTION CENTER INDICATED BELOW NORMAL CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION
    FOR THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK OVER
    THE AREA INDICATED BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE PERIOD.

    THE 30-DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK INDICATED EQUAL CHANCES OF
    PRECIPITATION OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THE 30-DAY
    TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK INDICATED NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

    THE 90-DAY PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK INDICATED BELOW NORMAL CHANCES OF
    PRECIPITATION ALONG THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
    VALLEY. FOR THE PERIOD, TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE NORMAL
    FOR THE ENTIRE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY.


    MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND ATCHAFALAYA RIVER BASINS...

    ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION HAS OCCURRED OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI
    VALLEY, LOWER OHIO VALLEY, AND COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE LOWER
    MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. ABOVE NORMAL SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS
    GENERALLY MATCH THE RECENT RAINFALL/SNOWFALL PATTERNS. NO DROUGHT
    CONDITIONS EXIST OVER LOUISIANA OR MISSISSIPPI.

    THE OHIO AND MISSISSIPPI RIVERS ARE CURRENTLY RISING FROM RAINFALL
    AND SNOWMELT BUT NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

    SEE THE CHART BELOW FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS SHOWING PERCENT OF NORMAL
    STREAMFLOWS:

    3/6
    MISSISSIPPI RIVER VICKSBURG MS 76%
    MISSISSIPPI RIVER NATCHEZ MS 74%
    MISSISSIPPI RIVER RED RIVER LANDING LA 72%
    MISSISSIPPI RIVER BATON ROUGE LA 72%
    MISSISSIPPI RIVER NEW ORLEANS LA 73%
    ATCHAFALAYA RIVER SIMMESPORT LA 77%


    PEARL RIVER BASIN IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI...

    PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL CAUSED SEVERAL FLOOD EVENTS ACROSS THE
    PEARL RIVER BASIN. THE LOWER PEARL RIVER CONTINUES TO RECEDE BUT
    WILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. OVERALL
    SOIL MOISTURE CONTENT IS WELL ABOVE NORMAL. OBSERVED DAILY
    STREAMFLOWS AS A PERCENT OF MEAN ARE GIVEN BELOW.

    3/6
    PEARL RIVER MONTICELLO MS 88%
    PEARL RIVER BOGALUSA LA 214%


    AMITE/COMITE/NORTHSHORE DRAINAGE BASINS...

    RAINFALL IN JANUARY AND FEBRUARY PRODUCED PERIODS OF FLOODING ACROSS
    THE RIVER BASINS IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE
    LAST COUPLE OF WEEKS ALLOWED STREAMFLOWS TO RECEDE BELOW SEASONAL
    LEVELS. SOIL MOISTURE CONTENT IS ABOVE NORMAL. NO FLOODING IS
    OCCURRING AND FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
    OBSERVED DAILY STREAMFLOWS AS A PERCENT OF MEAN ARE GIVEN BELOW.

    3/6
    AMITE RIVER DARLINGTON LA 20%
    AMITE RIVER DENHAM SPRINGS LA 25%
    COMITE RIVER OLIVE BRANCH LA 21%
    TCHEFUNCTE RIVER FOLSOM LA 35%
    TICKFAW RIVER HOLDEN LA 29%
    TANGIPAHOA RIVER ROBERT LA 44%


    PASCAGOULA BASIN IN SOUTH MISSISSIPPI.....

    HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THE PAST TWO MONTHS HAS CAUSED EXTENSIVE
    FLOODING OVER THE PASCAGOULA BASIN. DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE LAST
    COUPLE OF WEEKS HAS ALLOWED STREAMFLOWS TO RECEDE TO NEAR SEASONAL
    LEVELS. OVERALL SOIL MOISTURE CONTENT IS WELL ABOVE NORMAL. NO
    FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
    SEVERAL DAYS. OBSERVED DAILY STREAMFLOWS AS A PERCENT OF MEAN ARE
    GIVEN BELOW.

    3/6
    PASCAGOULA RIVER MERRILL MS 78%


    2013 SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK...
    BASED ON EXISTING SOIL MOISTURE...STREAMFLOW CONDITIONS...AND
    NORMAL SPRING RAINFALL PATTERNS...THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING
    ACROSS THE REGION IS AVERAGE TO ABOVE AVERAGE.

    AN AVERAGE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED ALONG THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
    AND ATCHAFALAYA RIVERS. THE MAGNITUDE OF FUTURE CRESTS WILL DEPEND
    ON THE AMOUNT AND EXTENT OF ANY UPSTREAM ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW COVER
    AND RESULTANT SNOWMELT, ALONG WITH THE FREQUENCY, INTENSITY, AND
    EXTENT OF SPRING RAINS.

    AN ABOVE AVERAGE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED ON THE LOWER PEARL
    RIVER DOWNSTREAM OF JACKSON, MS TO THE GULF COAST.

    AN ABOVE AVERAGE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AMITE,
    COMITE, AND OTHER NORTHSHORE RIVER BASINS.

    AN ABOVE AVERAGE FLOOD POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE PASCAGOULA
    RIVER BASIN.

    STREAMFLOW DATA PROVIDED BY THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY AND THE U.S.
    ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS.

    THIS WILL BE THE FINAL SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK FOR 2013 ISSUED FROM WFO
    NEW ORLEANS/BATON ROUGE UNLESS CONDITIONS WARRANT.


    PLEASE DIRECT COMMENTS OR QUESTIONS TO:
    PATRICIA BROWN
    SENIOR SERVICE HYDROLOGIST
    WFO NEW ORLEANS/BATON ROUGE, LA
    (985) 645-0565 EXT. 228

    $$
  20. libgoon's Avatar
    Kai apart from the flooding issue in the lower MS Valley that statement appears to be great news in what was a drought stricken area!
  21. PcolaDan's Avatar
    That's actually good news. Flooding on the Miss is both normal and helpful. Also means cargo ships won't be bottoming out or channels needing to be dug out.
  22. libgoon's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by PcolaDan
    That's actually good news. Flooding on the Miss is both normal and helpful. Also means cargo ships won't be bottoming out or channels needing to be dug out.
    So its great news alround
  23. kaiden's Avatar
    Lib it is relieving some drought areas. the Pascagoula River has been above flood stage twice the past two months which usually does not happen until April. The moisture in the ground here is returning to normal. Normally from December until March my back and side yard are spongy this year it did not get that way until the latter part of February.

    Last year other then Hurricane Issac that dumped ~20 to 25 inches in 2 days to areas here and a big rain event in April that gave us 10 or so inches over 2 days we were way behind in rain.

    So over all for me bring on the rain.
  24. kaiden's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by PcolaDan
    That's actually good news. Flooding on the Miss is both normal and helpful. Also means cargo ships won't be bottoming out or channels needing to be dug out.
    Crossing the Mississippi River several times last week in Natchez and Baton Rouge, it looked to be the lowest levels I have seen in a while. So it definitely needs some water.
  25. libgoon's Avatar
    ...
    Updated 03-09-2013 at 01:11 PM by libgoon
  26. libgoon's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by kaiden
    Crossing the Mississippi River several times last week in Natchez and Baton Rouge, it looked to be the lowest levels I have seen in a while. So it definitely needs some water.
    I understand were you are coming from , But from what I understand from Atmo the lower area has had way more rain than usual . and MSGal it seems is always having rain
  27. StAugustineFL's Avatar
    Good morning. On the drought/no drought front - it's becoming increasingly dry in these parts. It is the dry season and while I don't expect much rain this time of year, I'm only running 35% of normal at my house YTD. Temps will be heating up soon and if the trend continues, I expect to have many a day with smoke filled skies in the next 3 months before the rainy season ramps up. Latest drought map now has NE FL in severe drought







    If anyone is interested in an active wildfire map, this is a pretty good page. Click on the fire icon for more info.

    Wildfire Map & Satellite Images | Wildfire Disaster Interactive Map
  28. kaiden's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by libgoon
    I understand were you are coming from , But from what I understand from Atmo the lower area has had way more rain than usual . and MSGal it seems is always having rain
    For some reason right along the coast here the rain seems to move inland. The first Pascagoula River flood this year was from very heavy rains 50 miles and further inland, we had .3 inch of rain along the coast. I am about 6 miles inland. You would think that as much as the Gulf moisture effects the weather over a vast area of North America that right along the coast here we would have to grow fins and gills.

    I joke about the GBD, Great Blobular Divide, but it has been that way here the past year. It does seem in the last 2 rain events to be getting back to normal.
  29. libgoon's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by StAugustineFL
    Good morning. On the drought/no drought front - it's becoming increasingly dry in these parts. It is the dry season and while I don't expect much rain this time of year, I'm only running 35% of normal at my house YTD. Temps will be heating up soon and if the trend continues, I expect to have many a day with smoke filled skies in the next 3 months before the rainy season ramps up. Latest drought map now has NE FL in severe drought




    If anyone is interested in an active wildfire map, this is a pretty good page. Click on the fire icon for more info.

    Wildfire Map & Satellite Images | Wildfire Disaster Interactive Map
    Thanks for that link . bookmarking more for curiosity but I am sure its a good site for South Florida Folk
  30. kaiden's Avatar
    Good Morning Everyone. I hope everyone has a great weekend.

    Last Update on Mar 9, 5:53 am CST

    Fog/Mist
    44 F(7 C)
    Humidity: 96 %
    Wind Speed: Calm
    Barometer: 30.17" (1021.6 mb)
    Dewpoint: 43 F (6 C)
    Visibility: 6.00 mi.

    Today: Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon.

    Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
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