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libgoon

What is it about Tropical Weather...... and weather 9th of Feb

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by on 02-09-2014 at 09:10 PM (4032 Views)
What is it about tropical weather that is so much more interesting to most people who track weather ? Just throwing it out there to get opinions as to why, maybe others don't care as long as extreme stays away , I am trying to work out why I am like that ....and am curious to find if others have preferences for other types ...

Anyway Back to coming weeks weather ...

The Coming week

A Parade of lows run up the East Cast over the Next 10 days GFS loop The Euro , GFS and NAM have a low pressure come in from the Gulf over the big bend on Wednesday , with some agreement of moisture and where snow occurs also associated with feature is some guidance around possible severe weather for Florida http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/

There are also a couple of lows that come across the Great lakes which will dump some more snow there. There is a great deal of Precipitation predicted for much of the US for the Next 7 days .

Snow levels ,The GFS upto 96 hrs, the NAM upto 84 hrs The Euro even has more of the fluff !


Regarding the tropics

The euro had a LOL storm But is not to be seen on the 12Z Haha !

There is one TC around but the Imagery of it is pathetic ....FOBANE and a couple of invests .. around Australia

Regarding My Weather Its all about the Jet Stream Or the fact that is well south of where it should normally be Indicating a terrible week ahead for Southern England , France Portugal and Spain .But Should be a pretty good week here


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Updated 02-09-2014 at 09:26 PM by libgoon

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  1. Landfall2004's Avatar
    FIRST!!!
  2. Landfall2004's Avatar
    I guess they will figure out a way to blame this on global warming, too.
    Don't get me wrong--I believe in Climate Change--the climate has been changing since the beginning of time. Stuff happens--meteors cause dust and complete desolation, forest fires cause heat, smoke and gases, volcanoes erupt spewing dust and gases, automobiles spew gases, cows spew gases..............

    Heavy Snow Hits Tokyo for First Time in 13 Years

    The Tokyo area was hit by a rare heavy snowfall on Saturday, stalling trains, grounding flights, and blanketing roads and skyscrapers with snow.

    By mid-afternoon, about 4 inches of snow had fallen.

    The Japan Meteorological Agency issued its first heavy snowfall warning for central Tokyo in 13 years on Saturday. It warned that snow and rain would continue through the night, but that skies would clear gradually Sunday.

    Several universities in Tokyo delayed the start of entrance exams because of delays in metropolitan trains and subways, known for almost always being on time.

    Major carriers Japan Airlines and All Nippon Airways suspended domestic flights from Tokyo's Haneda airport. Some bullet trains were delayed and parts of expressways were closed.

    Japanese media said dozens of injuries were being reported from people slipping and falling, or crashing their cars.

    —The Associated Press
  3. libgoon's Avatar
    Reported Landfall !

  4. libgoon's Avatar
    Regarding Wednesdays weather

    WPC Map

  5. libgoon's Avatar

  6. InTheCone's Avatar
    Hmmmmm....

    Very interesting topic you have here, Lib. Coming from the land locked mid west(St. Louis) I have several personal observations to share on the topic. I didn't even have any idea of what a tropical cyclone was when I moved to Fl. in 1981, but was immediately captivated by these wildly unpredictable and destructive storms. Information about any storms was pretty sketchy in those days and paper and pencil maps for plotting were the order of the day. TWC didn't exist and local news coverage was pretty much all we got. I was hooked! During the 80's I truly came to believe that they were just a myth that really didn't occur here, typical of anyone who moves to such a locale that has not been impacted in a long time(such as now!) I have to admit that I was always fascinated by weather when growing up, tornadoes and wicked thunderstorms were a normal occurrence while I was growing up(A 2x4 from our patio covering was driven through the brick wall of a neighbors house when I was 5 and I always thought that was pretty cool!) and I loved it!(Even the hiding in the basement while all He77 broke out!) But tropical weather is just so unique. To be continued......
  7. Aislinn's Avatar
    Really? I don't want another day off of school. We're having to make up one of the days we've already had off.

    Monday Night

    Colder. Rain likely in the evening...then rain likely and a slight chance of light freezing rain after midnight. Lows in the lower 30s. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

    Tuesday

    Colder. Rain likely and a slight chance of light freezing rain in the morning...then rain likely in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 30s. North winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

    Tuesday Night

    Rain likely in the evening...then rain likely and a chance of light freezing rain after midnight. Lows in the lower 30s. North winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.

    Wednesday

    Cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain or light freezing rain in the morning...then partly cloudy in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 40s

    Thanks, Dan.
  8. PcolaDan's Avatar
    de nada
  9. Aislinn's Avatar
    Guess it was my turn to kill the blog. : (
    Lo Siento
  10. LaughingCat's Avatar
    Funny that growig up n eastern NC trough the 70s and 80s, canes were uncomon. Then 1996 came and the cane train began. I think that the intrigue for me lies in the ability to track a system well before anyone else knows anything about it. In the rare cases that a system survives and comes through my area, it is neat to know that I knew it when it was a little baby swirl. Also, I must admit that I enjoy it when my family and friends ask me what I think will happen when canes are threatening.
  11. Ossqss's Avatar
    What is it about tropical weather that is so much more interesting to most people who track weather ?

    Perhaps it is usually warmer then?

    I hope everyone is well as I type under a heater on my back porch!

    ��
  12. libgoon's Avatar
    Thanks Folks !

    Cone ,Cat and Oss you have made this blogger both very happy and relieved ..... , I too have my own reasons why I am so enchanted with hurricane season . But lets just say the lesser spotted Kkid inspired that part of the blog .
    I too will post later about this Its 4.30 AM right now , can't sleep.

    Dan Thanks for redirecting Ais , sometimes I forget to do that !
  13. Aislinn's Avatar
    Good morning, afternoon and evening, everyone. It's 45 degrees with an expected high of 49 later today. Since we've been a consistent 7 degrees under the expected high for the last two weeks not sure what we may have. I guess today we might get closer? It's raining on and off. We're under a winter weather advisory for 3 am tomorrow morning until noon tomorrow morning. Hopefully that will hold and it won't be extended or turn into a winter storm warning.

    Breakfast's on the sideboard: Berry Stuffed French Toast with Vanilla Yogurt Sauce, Ricotta Stuffed French Toast with Caramelized Bananas, Boston Cream Pie Pancakes, bacon, egg and cheese Breakfast Cupcakes, Cinnamon Breakfast Bites, bagels with cream cheese and jelly or lox, scrambled eggs with crawfish Étouffée to pour over it, cheese Danishes, yogurt, fresh fruit and orange, apple or pineapple juice. Creole coffee. Enjoy!
  14. libgoon's Avatar
    GFS ~ 06Z

    Hmm some folk will not be happy




  15. libgoon's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Aislinn
    Good morning, afternoon and evening, everyone. It's 45 degrees with an expected high of 49 later today. Since we've been a consistent 7 degrees under the expected high for the last two weeks not sure what we may have. I guess today we might get closer? It's raining on and off. We're under a winter weather advisory for 3 am tomorrow morning until noon tomorrow morning. Hopefully that will hold and it won't be extended or turn into a winter storm warning.

    Breakfast's on the sideboard: Berry Stuffed French Toast with Vanilla Yogurt Sauce, Ricotta Stuffed French Toast with Caramelized Bananas, Boston Cream Pie Pancakes, bacon, egg and cheese Breakfast Cupcakes, Cinnamon Breakfast Bites, bagels with cream cheese and jelly or lox, scrambled eggs with crawfish Étouffée to pour over it, cheese Danishes, yogurt, fresh fruit and orange, apple or pineapple juice. Creole coffee. Enjoy!
    Looks like a possible ice issue there !

    NAM 06Z



    Not alot of depth but Ice a quarter of an inch is an issue



    For the East coast ...



    North East

  16. InTheCone's Avatar
    Good Morning Bunkerites!

    Breakfast! I'll have bacon, egg and cheese Breakfast Cupcakes - those sound yummy! And coffee, thanks Aislinn! I hope you don't get school called for tomorrow, looks like it might be a close call.

    I wonder if LC will get any snow from this storm, never know with these coastal type winter storms, so hard to predict.
  17. Aislinn's Avatar
    Hey Lib! Most years I'd be happy and hope for snow, not ice. But with three weather days already and one to be made up, I really don't want any more days off of school. I'd only have to teach another day. Free days are fun to have off, but not any others.
  18. libgoon's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Aislinn
    Hey Lib! Most years I'd be happy and hope for snow, not ice. But with three weather days already and one to be made up, I really don't want any more days off of school. I'd only have to teach another day. Free days are fun to have off, but not any others.
    Understand that , you have to make days up for weather , even though the likelyhood would be no less than a week all year . Kind of would eat into vacations !
  19. libgoon's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by InTheCone
    Good Morning Bunkerites!

    Breakfast! I'll have bacon, egg and cheese Breakfast Cupcakes - those sound yummy! And coffee, thanks Aislinn! I hope you don't get school called for tomorrow, looks like it might be a close call.

    I wonder if LC will get any snow from this storm, never know with these coastal type winter storms, so hard to predict.

    you never know maybe he will ...
  20. libgoon's Avatar
    Wow anyone notice Levi added models , wish he really had the daddy of models on there as the plotting visually is fabulous , but the euro really is the one everyone wants as it really is the most accurate...

    But it is very nice work !
  21. LaughingCat's Avatar
    Good omrning all. I expect to get 1 or 2 inches of snow, but I am hoping not the ice, but That scenario is looking more possible. Will see how this plays out!
  22. InTheCone's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by libgoon
    Wow anyone notice Levi added models , wish he really had the daddy of models on there as the plotting visually is fabulous , but the euro really is the one everyone wants as it really is the most accurate...

    But it is very nice work !
    I saw that yesterday. He does a great job, and I sure wish he had the euro, but it is really expensive and then he would have sorts of issues with people posting on the web. I sure like the rest of his work.
  23. libgoon's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by InTheCone
    I saw that yesterday. He does a great job, and I sure wish he had the euro, but it is really expensive and then he would have sorts of issues with people posting on the web. I sure like the rest of his work.
    The ECM make things difficult for FBM and ametuer mets and enthusiasts alike , we all love looking at their stuff but man its expensive , I figure the free to air stuff should be publishable but I am getting addicted to looking at the rarer stuff at the moment ! If the Euro was like the CMC or NAVGEMS no one would care
  24. libgoon's Avatar
    Ais Onset according to SERF



  25. libgoon's Avatar
    Later



  26. SuperYooper's Avatar
    Morning. Wakeup temp of -3, no wind. Breezier at work, face completely frozen after sweeping the dusting off the sidewalk. Finished putting together a Rokenbox set together the kids last night...YouTube it...links for the Tube don't post right on Kindle. No pictures of the ice caves...not enough time to go. Woke up super late Saturday since we didn't sleep for two days before due to kindersickness.
  27. PcolaDan's Avatar
  28. libgoon's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by PcolaDan
    Goiia love the hype machine ..
  29. McBart ender's Avatar
    Wow Lib! Awesome topic and question for the off season. It's bound to generate some introspection and 'naval gazing' in some of us.

    I'm not nearly qualified to discuss the psychology of 'why' some of us are so compelled to the point of obsession with Tropical Weather. I can only speak to my own experiences, then leave it to others to discuss the psychology or motivations.

    Born in '64 (yes, it is necessary to date myself for the purposes of full disclosure) My first 'cane was Betsey in '65. I don't recall anything from it but my parents told me of the experiences. The house got 18" of flood water. They hung my crib from the ceiling on chains, and would raise it as the water came up. No power for a couple of days, and they had to put in a new floor, insulation, and sheet-rock. I grew up in that same house.

    My next major was Camille. I recall preparing to ride out the storm. (Nobody evacuated in those days, evacuation is a relatively new thing that has almost developed into a quasi-industry.) Watched my dad put the axes in the attic with some food and water and weapons. This was highly unusual behavior, combined with all the anxiety I detected in the adults, so it stuck in my memory. I distinctly recall it was a load of fun for a young boy. As you all know Camile turned just a bit and spared NOLA for the most part. We still got some impressive winds. MS coast got it bad.

    There have been numerous storms since then including Katrina. Other than to say I lost everything but my family; I'll not go into the Katrina details as I'm sure everyone has their own stories. Since Katrina I thought my attitude towards storms would have changed or 'matured', but it hasn't. I still get excited, and enjoy every single aspect of the season. I'm doing my best to show my children how to track storms, and prepare. They are now starting to enjoy the storms, and Isak was a perfect re-'trainer' for them. I do take some pleasure from being prepared for the adverse situations brought on by storms etc... Generator, food, ice, beer, (cheeetoes, slimjims, taped 'X's, reclaimed water in milk jugs) and the ability to be so prepared that I can often help the neighbors, some of whom are elderly and/or can't otherwise evacuate.

    The season does offer several opportunities to help others. That cold be a part of the addiction as well, I don't know. Looking back, it could be the fun and excitement from my youth that encouraged my addiction to tropical weather. Okay guys, be gentle. There is my Tropical soul laid bare for your review. Feel free to judge for yourselves, or have a psychologist tell me I'm completely nuts. I don't care much either way, I'm just going to continue to enjoy the weather, with friends of similar interests. (Thanks Dewey!) edit: and Thanks Lib!
    Updated 02-10-2014 at 03:41 PM by McBart ender
  30. libgoon's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by SuperYooper
    Morning. Wakeup temp of -3, no wind. Breezier at work, face completely frozen after sweeping the dusting off the sidewalk. Finished putting together a Rokenbox set together the kids last night...YouTube it...links for the Tube don't post right on Kindle. No pictures of the ice caves...not enough time to go. Woke up super late Saturday since we didn't sleep for two days before due to kindersickness.
    Sounds like you had your hands full , hope the kids are feeling better !
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