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libgoon

What a mix! ~ weather --Thursday 20th- Friday 21st

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by on 02-20-2014 at 10:54 AM (2477 Views)
There is a bit of weather about for the next couple of days



SPC Outlook

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html



http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html



Current NAM Composite Radar loop



Current WPC GIF with Fronts



As you can see there also due snow in the Great lakes
48 Hr snow map GFS @72 HRS

Current US IR Satellite
Unisys.com satellite

And radar

Raar Loop from Unisys

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Updated 02-20-2014 at 12:01 PM by libgoon

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  1. libgoon's Avatar
    A round up of NWS Graphics




  2. libgoon's Avatar




  3. libgoon's Avatar
  4. Landfall2004's Avatar
    FIRST!!!
  5. libgoon's Avatar
    They have upped it to Moderate risk



    Storm Prediction Center Feb 20, 2014 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

    Landfall Reported
  6. libgoon's Avatar
    Cute but I am guessing deadly Cyclone

    GUITO

  7. SuperYooper's Avatar
  8. SuperYooper's Avatar
    Morning. Wakeup temp of 22 degrees, winds light, cloudy. Already had local teachers assigning extra homework for they all believe no school for Friday.
  9. libgoon's Avatar
  10. libgoon's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by SuperYooper
    Morning. Wakeup temp of 22 degrees, winds light, cloudy. Already had local teachers assigning extra homework for they all believe no school for Friday.
    Yoop , I think that's is a given, somewhere between 6-12 inches and high winds
  11. LaughingCat's Avatar
    Wow... the hits just keep coming for ya Yoop...

    Thanks for changing the litter box, Lib.

    Here is an interesting snippet from our local NWS in the forecast discussion...

    WE HAVE NOTICED AN INTERESTING DISCONNECT BETWEEN THE PNA AND THE
    NAO TELECONNECTIONS AND THE RESULTING MEDIUM RANGE TEMPERATURE
    REGIME THIS WINTER. THE PNA HAS BEEN AND IS FORECAST TO BE
    NEGATIVE INTO EARLY MARCH WHILE THE NAO HAS BEEN AND IS FORECAST
    TO BE POSITIVE BOTH OF WHICH WOULD NORMALLY INDICATE A PERIOD OF
    ABOVE NORMAL WARMTH, YET THE DETERMINISTIC MODELS AND THEIR
    ENSEMBLES CONTINUE TO INDICATE A RETURN TO BELOW NORMAL
    TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK. AN EXAMINATION OF THE MEDIUM RANGE 500 MB
    PATTERN YIELDS AN AMPLIFIED WESTERN RIDGE AND A BROAD CENTRAL AND
    EASTERN TROUGH WHICH WILL RESULT IN A RETURN TO COOLER WEATHER
    NEXT WEEK DESPITE THE STRONG CORRELATION BETWEEN THE PNA AND NAO
    TELECONNECTIONS. THE AO IS FORECAST TO BECOME BRIEFLY NEGATIVE
    NEXT WEEK AND THIS PERHAPS HAS BEEN THE DETERMINING SIGNAL FOR
    FORECASTING MEDIUM RANGE TEMPERATURES THIS WINTER.
  12. libgoon's Avatar
    Always like to keep it fresh ! Thanks

    So Every FBM now abandons the 850MB for the 500mb maps
  13. PcolaDan's Avatar
    Earthquake confirmed in Bristol Channel

    BBC News - Earthquake confirmed in Bristol Channel

  14. McBart ender's Avatar
    Good morning all. Ais, thanks for breakfast! You know I can't pass up the sausage gravy on biscuits.

    SELA and MS AL going to get a BALOWAR today some time. (Timing is everything) AccuWeather has it starting around 5:00 PM local, then intermittent until Early Friday. Local mets are saying the Weekend will be fine though. Nothing showing on the radar yet. We'll see.

    MSG This is going right up your way as well. Heads up!

    Then later into the Emerald Coast area. Let's see if DJ's ECF is still consistent or not.



    Not time to panic yet. Any chances of some twisters moving along with this one??
  15. libgoon's Avatar
    Some but more off a straight wind event is expected

  16. libgoon's Avatar
    Looks like MS and TN are in the mix big time

  17. libgoon's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by PcolaDan
    Earthquake confirmed in Bristol Channel


    BBC News - Earthquake confirmed in Bristol Channel
    I did not hear about that !
  18. DestinJeff's Avatar
    The guy that always finds a way to say "in terms of" in his posts drives me completely f ing insane.

    I admit it. I have very irrational and unfounded reasons for disliking some posts in Shelby-town.
  19. libgoon's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by DestinJeff
    The guy that always finds a way to say "in terms of" in his posts drives me completely f ing insane.

    I admit it. I have very irrational and unfounded reasons for disliking some posts in Shelby-town.
    Man Now I have to look to see who it is ... was going to give the place a wide berth seeing I was banned last night for no reason ... woke up this morning and all my posts were removed from the Slaugherhouse ....
  20. McBart ender's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by libgoon
    Man Now I have to look to see who it is ... was going to give the place a wide berth seeing I was banned last night for no reason ... woke up this morning and all my posts were removed from the Slaugherhouse ....
    That place is like a train wreck to you guys, you just can't look away.

    Was it something to do with an X-men character? You mentioned that last night.
  21. libgoon's Avatar
    Everytime I tangle with that person I get banned ... even though I am not the one doing the insulting ... the pattern is obvious ... and I know who is banning me and its not who most would expect

    But thats all I am saying on the subject !
  22. McBart ender's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by libgoon
    Everytime I tangle with that person I get banned ... even though I am not the one doing the insulting ... the pattern is obvious ... and I know who is banning me and its not who most would expect

    But thats all I am saying on the subject !

    If I went to a neighborhood bar, and every time I went I got kicked out for not insulting someone, I think I'd go find another bar.

    But that's all I am going to say on that subject !
  23. libgoon's Avatar
    NAM 12Z



  24. DestinJeff's Avatar
    When a regular El Nino just isn't good enough ...

    522. Dr. Jeff Masters, Director of Meteorology (Admin)
    3:18 PM GMT on February 20, 2014
    I won't be making a post today or Friday, as I'm taking a few vacation days. I'll have a guest post on El Niņo posted on Friday. We could see a Super-El Niņo this fall!

    Jeff Masters

  25. InTheCone's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by libgoon
    Everytime I tangle with that person I get banned ... even though I am not the one doing the insulting ... the pattern is obvious ... and I know who is banning me and its not who most would expect

    But thats all I am saying on the subject !
    It's a shame they have gotten so bad over there, you could be one of their best contributors and they just keeping punching you and pushing you away. I do look in when there's tropical weather afoot, but avoid it like the plague otherwise.

    But we do appreciate 'ya here! As LC so aptly put it, you keep our little cat box clean and fresh

    I sure hope it doesn't rain here tomorrow, I am having some of my windows replaced to impact glass, this will cut down on the amount of shutters I have to put up(eliminating the 2nd floor altogether). But rain would be a bummer with no windows
  26. PcolaDan's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by DestinJeff
    When a regular El Nino just isn't good enough ...

    522. Dr. Jeff Masters, Director of Meteorology (Admin)
    3:18 PM GMT on February 20, 2014
    I won't be making a post today or Friday, as I'm taking a few vacation days. I'll have a guest post on El Niņo posted on Friday. We could see a Super-El Niņo this fall!

    Jeff Masters
    But, but, but................ will it be unprecedented and historical? If not, I'm not interested.
  27. InTheCone's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by DestinJeff
    When a regular El Nino just isn't good enough ...

    522. Dr. Jeff Masters, Director of Meteorology (Admin)
    3:18 PM GMT on February 20, 2014
    I won't be making a post today or Friday, as I'm taking a few vacation days. I'll have a guest post on El Niņo posted on Friday. We could see a Super-El Niņo this fall!

    Jeff Masters

    The Water Closet is ready!

  28. McBart ender's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by PcolaDan
    But, but, but................ will it be unprecedented and historical? If not, I'm not interested.

    A 'Super- Elnino". Woah, He is so serial.
  29. DestinJeff's Avatar
    An "El Nino Vortex" would be the only higher level on Nino.

    My prays for the equatorial waters of the East Pacific.






  30. DestinJeff's Avatar
    I think a good idea will be to base our seasonal fakecast on what we deem as similar conditions in previous years. This methods always works, except for the rare occasion when it never does.

    Last year was all about "all the signs" (anal logs) pointing to a "super duper hyper active" hurricane season that would produce more storms before 9 June than most years do in a whole season. Well that didn't happen. Never even got a D Storm!

    Now we see the same act: "reminds me of Year X and Year Z. If this verifies, we will be in for a long haul. But we will have to wait and see on this one, this time."
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