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InTheCone

September:To the Acme and Beyond!

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by on 09-01-2017 at 08:12 AM (22787 Views)
It’s hard to imagine that we have not reached the peak of the season after what Harvey has done, but up we go!



The NHC is going to be busy, at least to start the month...





Let's just hope we can make it through the rest of the month without any more mischief hitting land!

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  1. kaiden's Avatar
    Good Afternoon, Evening, or Night, EveryJuan.

    I went into town about noon:30 today. I-10 West bound was very heavy traffic moving about 30-35. Gas stations were full, but just a couple of cars waiting in line to get to the pumps.

    Two Motels at the Pascagoula interchange were loaded up with power company trucks. I guess they are waiting to see where to head after it passes.

    Take care peeps.
  2. InTheCone's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by libgoon
    For strong storms it seems to kick a$$
    Watching CNN .... seems to think Tampa could see a cat 3 storm
    They'll be lucky to get off with that.
  3. libgoon's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by kaiden
    Good Afternoon, Evening, or Night, EveryJuan.

    I went into town about noon:30 today. I-10 West bound was very heavy traffic moving about 30-35. Gas stations were full, but just a couple of cars waiting in line to get to the pumps.

    Two Motels at the Pascagoula interchange were loaded up with power company trucks. I guess they are waiting to see where to head after it passes.

    Take care peeps.
    That is good to hear , sounds like they are ready to get Florida back up and running ASAP
  4. Aislinn's Avatar
    If you scroll down he has a picture comparing the sizes of Andrew and Irma.
    https://www.facebook.com/Meteorologi...-aMwSRaXE6sJJY
  5. NavarreMark's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by McBart ender
    Altitude could have something to do with it. If some data is suspect they may not publish it.

    Check out the Pressure/altitude chart. They are flying at about 10,000 ft. (Possibly due to proximity to cuba, I dunno). Cuba doesn't usually let Recon fly that close.

    Lacking Buoy data, it's all we have for now. Radar does have the eye coming off the coast. I guess that means "Game-On" again.


    Actually Cuba allows Hurricane Hunter overflights. They do so because the data is made public in real time and they benefit from it as much as anybody. Cuba has their own weather service and they are quite experienced in tropical weather.

    That is Juan of the few things the Cuban and U.S. governments cooperate on. It benefits both of them.
  6. libgoon's Avatar
    The Nador warnings are coming in now Severe Weather Warnings Page
  7. MSGAL's Avatar
    Reed Timmer on Key West.....Brett Adair ...staying on Marcos Is...Mark Suddith is somewhere~~~those are chasers are live off and on FB..twitter..ect...
  8. libgoon's Avatar
  9. McBart ender's Avatar
    Don't think he made it all the way in on that last pass, but here's the data:

    Peak 10 sec. surface wind looks to be just over 90kt. Pressure still in the low 930s. Bird still flying at about 10,000 ft.



    Updated 09-09-2017 at 10:48 PM by McBart ender
  10. libgoon's Avatar
    Her eye is tinny ... that outer band ( in Florida looks full of popcorn ) has severe weather in it

  11. InTheCone's Avatar
    The IB is SW of the NHC plot line - no real turn yet...

  12. InTheCone's Avatar
    crankyweatherguy‏ @crankywxguy 21m21 minutes agoMore



    Hurricane #Irma upper level environment is prime, pristine, and perfection for rapid intensification. There will be no shear to hold it down





  13. NavarreMark's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by McBart ender
    Don't think he made it all the way in on that last pass, but here's the data:

    Peak 10 sec. surface wind looks to be just over 90kt. Pressure still in the low 930s. Bird still flying at about 10,000 ft.




    10,000 ft is the standard operating altitude for Air Force HH missions. NOAA often goes much lower.
  14. MSGAL's Avatar
    Lawd have mercy on these folks...saw a small child there..cant watch that anymore

    https://www.facebook.com/livemap/#@2...04052734375,9z
  15. Aislinn's Avatar
    I'm with you, MSGAL. Endanger yourself, but kids shouldn't be there!
  16. Floorman's Avatar
    Had two tornado warnings in a half hour here in SW Fort Lauderdale. The first jaun I had a 45 mph gust. The second juan was supposed to be closer and the wind was still.
    Minor compared to what it could have been here. The Key West riff raffs are up to there same old foolishness.
  17. InTheCone's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Floorman
    Had two tornado warnings in a half hour here in SW Fort Lauderdale. The first jaun I had a 45 mph gust. The second juan was supposed to be closer and the wind was still.
    Minor compared to what it could have been here. The Key West riff raffs are up to there same old foolishness.
    Yep, they are a crazy bunch down there - bringing kids into it is just insanity and they should be shot, hanged, or preferably burned at the stake.

    'Nader warnings pretty constant all around the area and will be for the next 12-24 hrs. Going to be a long night.
  18. StAugustineFL's Avatar
    SS/BS all. Emergency work ENACT robo dialer has already called off work for Monday. Not quite sure how bumpy it may get here. I'm thinking possible 90mph gusts with a foot of rain and nader threat.
  19. StAugustineFL's Avatar
    Hope to see everyjuan check in post Irma with minimal damage. We shall see. 36-48 hours of mayhem then conditions improve for FL.
  20. StAugustineFL's Avatar
    In addition to stocking up on cheeto's, slim jims, vienna sausages, option #2, milk jugs, etc.... take photo's of everything inside/outside the home. Juan will need them if filing an insurance claim.
  21. Floorman's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by InTheCone
    Yep, they are a crazy bunch down there - bringing kids into it is just insanity and they should be shot, hanged, or preferably burned at the stake.

    'Nader warnings pretty constant all around the area and will be for the next 12-24 hrs. Going to be a long night.

    I agree. I would never have thought of putting my kids in a situation like that.
    Most long time Conchs head all warnings. Key West draws a lot of strange people.
  22. Aislinn's Avatar
    Once my friend and son lose electric I'll be texting them once an hour with updates on where Irma is and anything else they want to know. I hadn't planned to sleep much anyway. A friend in Canada did that for me in Rita. And once you're inside a shuttered up house in the dark it's nice to have some outside contact.
  23. KanKunKid's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Aislinn
    MS, can't wait for pictures! That's awesome!
    I read somewhere that only four people were given permission to stay in the keys, they work with dolphins...
    I think they WERE the dolphins..
  24. KanKunKid's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by InTheCone
    The IB is SW of the NHC plot line - no real turn yet...

    Yes, no real turn and it is past time for the turn according to most of the models. The front from the upper GOM has to get down (and get funky) ahead of it or it will just bump it further south. It has a little push from a weak system south of it, but not much. The draw north and east has missed like ASCAT and now it is a whole new ball game. I am still trying to figure out the data that they are using to plot the steering currents. So far, they seem to be too weak or not yet in a position to be in play. But this is a HUGE hurricane and it is making its own system. So I am still saying it will go into the gulf before going north and should go north offshore, but I also see it missing its ride north and I see it waiting at the bus stop, (GOM) sucking up rocket fuel and waiting for its next ride NE which will take it straight to Navarre! Or not.
    In any case, look for more western plots from Le Modeles..
    Miami is getting what it will get right now.
    Suffer *****!
  25. Tulsahurrcane's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Aislinn
    Once my friend and son lose electric I'll be texting them once an hour with updates on where Irma is and anything else they want to know. I hadn't planned to sleep much anyway. A friend in Canada did that for me in Rita. And once you're inside a shuttered up house in the dark it's nice to have some outside contact.
    Saw earlier FPL anticipates maybe half its customers losing power. I hope not. I didn't realize it took 3 months to get power back to everyone after Andrew. That would bring out my inner beeyatch.
  26. Tulsahurrcane's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by KanKunKid
    Yes, no real turn and it is past time for the turn according to most of the models. The front from the upper GOM has to get down (and get funky) ahead of it or it will just bump it further south. It has a little push from a weak system south of it, but not much. The draw north and east has missed like ASCAT and now it is a whole new ball game. I am still trying to figure out the data that they are using to plot the steering currents. So far, they seem to be too weak or not yet in a position to be in play. But this is a HUGE hurricane and it is making its own system. So I am still saying it will go into the gulf before going north and should go north offshore, but I also see it missing its ride north and I see it waiting at the bus stop, (GOM) sucking up rocket fuel and waiting for its next ride NE which will take it straight to Navarre! Or not.
    In any case, look for more western plots from Le Modeles..
    Miami is getting what it will get right now.
    Suffer *****!
    Pretty much the CLP5 from this morning. Mark was going to deal with it - must not have talked to it sternly enough.
    Updated 09-10-2017 at 12:58 AM by Tulsahurrcane
  27. Geep's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Tulsahurrcane
    Saw earlier FPL anticipates maybe half its customers losing power. I hope not. I didn't realize it took 3 months to get power back to everyone after Andrew. That would bring out my inner beeyatch.
    I think it was frances where we lost power for two weeks, fun times.
  28. DestinJeff's Avatar
    Bunker Station Castle Rock checking in with an "All Clear" here.

    I said Juance before, if not twice, that this IB isn't playing by the rules and the North gulf coast should stay on alert. Trust it about as much as a fart when you have the stomach flu, which Juan knows is not at all.

    I think it will be off shore much longer than currently suggested, I'm with trip K, and triple sec
  29. Aislinn's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Tulsahurrcane
    Saw earlier FPL anticipates maybe half its customers losing power. I hope not. I didn't realize it took 3 months to get power back to everyone after Andrew. That would bring out my inner beeyatch.
    If it looks like it will be a week without electric or more, then my son and I'm not sure how many others will be heading to my house. I'm torn, I want him to come home so I can see him, but I don't want it that bad there.
  30. Geep's Avatar
    Ugh, nado markers blowing in off the atlantic.
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