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InTheCone

April/May:April Drencheroos & May Mayhem?

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by on 04-01-2018 at 09:13 AM (5052 Views)
Tis’ the season for – rain & possibly some pre-tropical mischief, which means more – rain. Any which way we shake it out…..



Unless, of course, we have an epic drought – which seems likely in Fl. Then there’s the ’Naders wandering about causing mayhem, so we’ll have to keep an eye on the SPC maps….



More snoh for the north? Long term trends seem to think it’s going to be a chilly April, so gawking at the national radar to see what’s going on is always a good idea……



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  1. McBart ender's Avatar
    Chances going down...



    ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

    Special Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    345 PM EDT Mon May 14 2018

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    1. A deep-layer non-tropical area of low pressure located over the
    eastern Gulf of Mexico continues to produce widespread cloudiness,
    showers, and thunderstorms across much of Florida and southeastern
    Georgia. Although this system could still acquire some subtropical
    or tropical characteristics while it moves slowly northward across
    the eastern Gulf of Mexico during the next few days, the low has
    not shown signs of increased organization during the past 24 hours.
    Regardless of subtropical or tropical cyclone formation, this system
    will produce locally heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding
    across portions of Florida and the southeastern United States during
    the next few days. For more information on this system, please see
    products issued by your local weather office. The next Special
    Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 9 AM EDT
    on Tuesday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

    Forecaster Berg
  2. McBart ender's Avatar
    That Berg is such a card.
  3. Landfall2004's Avatar
    Put a second bucket out about noon. BOTH are full, so is the Fountain Rain Gauge..

    8 baby coonies here this PM--the whole fandamily. I watched one of our mothers drop off her baby--they must babysit for each other.
  4. McBart ender's Avatar
    The outer bands are already here!



    This does not bode well for the Season ™.
  5. InTheCone's Avatar
    Good Morning Bunkerites!

    Looks like the whole mess is beginning to shift north od here, but I have a feeling we're not done yet......

  6. NavarreMark's Avatar
    Morning folks.

    Sorry for the absence. I was off the grid for so long that I have pretty much forgotten about computers and such. I rarely even watch the television anymore.
    My absence also means that I have plenty of projects (Honey Do list) that need to be done around here and they have kept me busy.

    I woke up yesterday morning and made coffee. When it was done, I went out the garage to make sure my power tool batteries were on the chargers. When I
    stepped into the garage, much to my surprise there were about 3 dozen monster sized spiders on the garage floor. I'm talking big spiders about 3 1/2 to 4 inches each.
    I learned as a young inductee that sometimes life just hands you a sh1t sandwich and sometimes you just have to take a bite. I also learned long ago that if not for high
    shelves, heavy lifting and yes, spiders, Mama would have lifted my scalp many moons ago. So I proceeded to do my duty and I stomped on every Juan of the spiders.
    They were so big that they didn't squish. They crunched. Strangely, none of them made so much as any effort to move or evade my wrath. It was as if they had
    accepted that they were DOOMed and were eagerly awaiting me quickly putting them out of their misery.

    It was really strange. Not having come across such a phenomena before I wondered what it meant and/or foretold. Not knowing the answer, I just decided that May 14th
    would forever more be known as Dawn of the Monster Spiders and I didn't think too much more about it. Of course I didn't tell Mama about what happened because if I
    did she probably wouldn't get a good nights sleep until next year some time if that.

    But then I did something unusual for me these days. When I awoke this morning I turned the television on and tuned to TWC. I saw that Jim Cantore was on Panama
    City Beach and that I was blissfully unaware that there was a Gulf "System" brewing and all of us are DOOM. Since I'm not the dimmest bulb in the fixture, I quickly made
    the correlation with the "System" and the Dawn of the Monster Spiders.

    It's odd how happenstance can lead to new scientific discoveries for those who are observant. It's not just ant hills that we have to look out for.

    I'm not a Doctor of Fake Blog Met science for nothing you know.
  7. InTheCone's Avatar
    Morning Dr. Mark!

    Nice to see you! Could you send some of the 8 legged beasties over Dew's way? Maybe that will bring him out of hiding.
  8. McBart ender's Avatar
    Avila is not impressed.


    ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
    TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

    Special Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue May 15 2018

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    1. A broad non-tropical area of low pressure located over the
    northeastern Gulf of Mexico is producing widespread cloudiness,
    showers, and thunderstorms across much of Florida, southeastern
    Georgia and a good portion of the Bahamas. This system has not
    become any better organized since yesterday and conditions are
    becoming even less favorable for subtropical or tropical cyclone
    formation. This system, however, will continue to produce locally
    heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of
    Florida and the southeastern United States during the next few days
    while the low moves generally northward. For more information on
    this system, please see products issued by your local weather
    office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system
    will be issued by 9 AM EDT on Wednesday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

    Forecaster Avila
  9. LaughingCat's Avatar
    Sounds like somejuan should have told Avila about Mark's spiders... Maybe would have warranted a bump to 20%.
  10. NavarreMark's Avatar
    Where's Dr. Kid?
  11. McBart ender's Avatar
    Where's Jeff?
  12. InTheCone's Avatar
  13. McBart ender's Avatar
    Well well...

  14. InTheCone's Avatar
    It only got a hit because there's nothing much there to see
  15. McBart ender's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by InTheCone
    It only got a hit because there's nothing much there to see

    Yes. I think we've found the textbook definition of "Broad".
  16. Landfall2004's Avatar
    Well, sunny with a few fly by spritzings today. Not much to talk about. 83 degrees but feels like 91. Eeewwwwmidity is upon us.

    Where I am going in few weeks in the Pacific NW, is currently 50 degrees up to mid 60's. I didn't even unpack the clothes from my March trip to the mid-west and snoh. I am all set to go!
  17. InTheCone's Avatar
    Not much rain here, either. Kilauea is getting fiesty....

  18. InTheCone's Avatar
    Good Morning Bunkerites!

    Could we have DOOM on the horizon? All the models are hinting at some for NEXT WEEK(always more interestinger), probably just be a super soaker if anything does come about......



    Pre-Season is the new August!
  19. InTheCone's Avatar
    Dr. Mark must get his affairs in order(or order up some more affairs) DOOM is sooooo nigh.....

  20. Landfall2004's Avatar
    Is that 950 or 960? This drama needs to wait until I get back from vacation---just sayin'.

    I know Andrew came in August, but MY Official Hurricane Season is from Sept. 1 -Nov. 1.

    Let it be written, let it be done!

    8 weeks of being on the edge is enough.
  21. hurricat's Avatar
    It is 960. May is the new August.

    I drove home through what I later learned was a severe warned t-storm. Very much the drencheroo and the lightning all around the car was quite illuminating.
  22. InTheCone's Avatar
    960 - just a wee rain squall for you I'm with you - 8 weeks is enough time for the big Juans, I just watch the rest for fun.
  23. Ossqss's Avatar
    960?

  24. LaughingCat's Avatar
    Don't know if this'll work since it's a link to another's FB post, but a friend who lives in Va. posted this...

    Incredible video!!!

    https://www.facebook.com/keriack/vid...52757153/?t=19
    Updated 05-16-2018 at 04:00 PM by LaughingCat (she's a firefighter and tough as nails but even she got a bit rattled!)
  25. Ossqss's Avatar
    Couldn't open it on my end LC.

    This was quite good from P today.



    "I tell ya. When the NWS and twitter hypes fog you better listen! It was unprecedented especially for Cape Cod where it's only foggy about 250 out of the 365 days each year!

    I got lost! Died twice! It's why I haven't posted the past couple days. I think there may be more fog tomorrow morning so it may be several more days before I find my way back to the internet.

    Very dangerous stuff here. Historic! Please PLEASE like and retweet every post about fog you see! You could save many many lives! "
  26. KanKunKid's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by NavarreMark
    Where's Dr. Kid?
    Western Ohio, working like a borrowed mule.

    A borrowed mule with a tendency to nap.

    The planet's weather is becoming difficult to keep up with, I believe we are entering into a new era of strange.
    I am facing it with my usual stiff upper lip, which is usually found on a cold beer and something delicious, followed by a nap of course, sooner or later.
    Work has been very time consuming and since the insistence of the IRS has caused me to act in such a way that left a sizeable hole in my petty cash account, I have had to devote a greater amount of free time to refilling it to an acceptable level, and even though they took a large chunk of it, as they did last year, without so much as a "thank you" or even a "kiss my ***" I cannot deduct that amount from my income next year, the greedy %%$#%@$&!
    So, I have not had the time to check in as often as I would like. It's not as romantic and dreamy as panning for gold out west, but it keeps me away just as much, without the fun, sun, and sweet solitude.
    I may be around this area more than TN for awhile. Juan must occasionally opt to be near a reliable source of dinero when Juan is able. It is also true of Cerveza. And other desirable items that the BCLA may not appreciate me mentioning here in the PG rated section.

    So, if I am not regular as I have been, it not because I am eating more cheese. I have just been busy doing stuff and spending evening conversing with my better half 12K miles away on Google Duo.

    I believe the ECF may be in for a work out soon. Fortunately Mark is there to observe and fidget. With Jeff gone and Leftenant Nodar in rehab, his hands will be full when he is not doing the Monster Mash. (monster spider mash that is).

    You may have something there. A new, non-sensory indicator of incoming DOOM.
    I would prefer something a little less spidery, myself, but I actually don't like creatures of any kind invading my living space or storage space for ANY reason. If I have to make up a reason, even if it is Juan that can be used to explain their ability to foretell DOOM, they still will face the treatment of an unwanted intruder. This usually carries with it, the death sentence. But lest some Juan think I am too harsh, I have modified my policy to allow such intruders to explain themselves: If they are able to do so to my satisfaction, then they may be dealt with in a less severe manner, or if the death sentence will create a nasty mess, then them may be expelled or expelled and executed in a remote location.

    Juan may be forced to make sacrifices in the name of science, but Juan must not lose sight of the importance of living life to the full, without unwanted and/or unneeded, unnecessary or silly indicators of DOOM.
    Ants are the worst scammers. They just want in to clean up a mess you failed to clean up yourself. Yes, they will clean it up to the last molecule, if it is something they like. But then they make themselves at home and start getting into things that are not intended for them, and will eat it all up if left unchecked. They may not crap everywhere like mice do, but still they will invade hidden places and weaken wood structures and generally make a nuisance of themselves. But nothing is better at foretelling incoming DOOM than an ant pile. The trouble is, they ARE DOOM! A winter storm is nothing compared to the food they decimate and make inedible by their crunchy little bodies in your food and their crunchy little corpses floating benignly in your coffee as if it were a coarse ground spice that taste like ant ass. (The taste of which I do not like, even with hazelnut additive).
    The weather models may be off, but at least they can be turned off and ignored.
    The spider indicator of DOOM may work, but I would view it the same as a hemorrhoid is an indicator that you strained yourself once too often. Yes, as an indicator it is accurate and true, but is a real pain in the butt.
  27. Tulsahurrcane's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by InTheCone
    Dr. Mark must get his affairs in order(or order up some more affairs) DOOM is sooooo nigh.....

    If Dr Mark orders up some affairs, Mama will take a scalp and we will never hear from him again.
  28. Landfall2004's Avatar
    TULSA!
  29. Cos's Avatar
    3K, ditto what you said. Especially the part about the ants.
    In SEFL, in addition to rats and ants which can be everywhere, we have the appropriately named Cayman lizard, a species of lizard that's eaten through the other newts/lizards wreaking DOOM as they scoot like mini-roadrunners on their piece of the habitat, and it's reached the point where they're invading homes. They're not eating humans(yet) but they are a nuisance.
    Updated 05-17-2018 at 12:35 AM by Cos (What is that on my sombrero?)
  30. Ossqss's Avatar
    Cos, you are gonna need to wash that hat after Tweety is done
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