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InTheCone

June/July: The Beginning of the End?

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by on 06-01-2018 at 07:45 AM (10777 Views)
At least it is for me, for the blog, that will have to be determined by others. I decided during the offseason that I was burned out on being the blog host to what is an increasingly diminished membership. No offense to the wonderful folks who remain, but having two posters in a 24 hr. period is just not worth the effort or the money. If someJuan else would like to take over the duties that would be great, and I would still like to participate, but not as the proprietor. Maybe you all can come up with a solution to our woes, and I will applaud your efforts if you should like to try.

Until that time, on with the show!
It’s early – too early for any biggies(we hope), but we might get some more flusher type systems before the big boys start forming up.



The tropical wave train will get going in earnest and the ITCZ will begin it’s northward migration.



The early season SST anomalies are providing some clues about the seasons and so far the MDR is quite chilly, but the western GOM is ready, willing, and able.



So, sit back, pop an option #2 beverage and for at least the next 6 mos……

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  1. InTheCone's Avatar
    Good Morning Bunkerites!

    Calif. is known for it's fires at this time of year, but this Juan is particularly bad. Looks like a war zone out there.....

  2. NavarreMark's Avatar
    I have a bad feeling about this.

  3. NavarreMark's Avatar
    The 06Z NAM shows that a pattern of rainy weather has descended upon the Emerald Coast. ECF is weak.

  4. NavarreMark's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by InTheCone
    Good Morning Bunkerites!

    Calif. is known for it's fires at this time of year, but this Juan is particularly bad. Looks like a war zone out there.....


    Is that Compton?
  5. InTheCone's Avatar
    Morning Dr. Mark!

    I have no idea if that's Compton, but the Redding area has been pretty much decimated. I'm not overly fond of 'canes, but those fires would be terrifying

    BlackDar confirms your suspicions - the ECF is almost non-existent. The end in nighish, or not......

  6. Landfall2004's Avatar
    I believe we are in the doldrums.......
  7. KanKunKid's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by InTheCone
    Morning Dr. Mark!

    I have no idea if that's Compton, but the Redding area has been pretty much decimated. I'm not overly fond of 'canes, but those fires would be terrifying

    BlackDar confirms your suspicions - the ECF is almost non-existent. The end in nighish, or not......

    The professional prognosticators have gazed into their collective crystal balls and have issued a prophecy of semi doomishness here in the Cumberland valley of TN.
    Yes, it is supposed to thunderstorm today 'round these parts.
    I figured this would happen as soon as I bought a new grill.

    My prays for the ECF but I am afraid it is F.

    Our esteemed colleague and Doctor of FM will surely act accordingly. And may God have mercy on his soul.
  8. Landfall2004's Avatar
    After my mid-day downpour, the fountain rain gauge is overflowing and the kiddie pool cover is full of rain again.

    And now the raccoons are trying to get on the hammock...........what a racket!
  9. Cos's Avatar
    zzzzzzzz.....surely next week will be more interesting tropical weather-wise, or nothing like that at all.
    There's not even a fantasy storm in site for 384 hours.
    Updated 07-31-2018 at 04:42 AM by Cos
  10. InTheCone's Avatar
    Good Morning Bunkerites!

    I hear that Cos, the crickets are out in force in the ATL. and it looks to stay that way for a looong time unless something pops up near the coast.

    According to the Tropical Cyclone Formation probability guidance products for the Tropical Atlantic, the vertical instability is equal to what you would find in early April, hence the lack of showers/thunderstorms.











    Updated 07-31-2018 at 09:33 AM by InTheCone
  11. NavarreMark's Avatar
    This doesn't look good.

  12. NavarreMark's Avatar
    It's going to be like this all week. Pray for us. If you'd prefer to play for us that would be fine too.

  13. InTheCone's Avatar
    Morning Dr. Mark!

    Looks like the armpit is getting the good dousing that it so desperately needs.....

  14. McBart ender's Avatar
    ***** BREAKING NEWS *****

    INCOMING!!!



    Just trying to keep the Hype in training for any possible tropical mischief this year.
    You may now return to your regularly scheduled doom and panic.

    end...
  15. KanKunKid's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by NavarreMark
    It's going to be like this all week. Pray for us. If you'd prefer to play for us that would be fine too.

    It looks like a gully-washer train, if there were gullies in the Panhandle. I would say "frog-strangler" but I have never been comfortable using that phrase. It sounds like more of a frog on frog serial killer to me, or maybe a strangler from Britain who only strangles the French.
    In any case, you should take the necessary precautions, or as my grandmother used to tell my grandfather, "It's wet out, don't forget to wear your rubbers!" which always elicited giggles from us kids, who had a different understanding of her words, on purpose, of course. It was much funnier to picture grandpa doing his wife's bidding that way. She would see us giggle and just look at us with disgust, at first, and then shake her head and smile and mutter something under her breath about our Dad.
    I personally side with cats on the issue of venturing out in known precipitation on purpose. If I am dry, clothed and not in swimwear, I do not like to get wet. So, I plan activities or goofing off indoors. I become somewhat irritated if I am forced to go out of doors when it is raining.

    Cats seem to feel the same way, but they are not as nice as I am about it. As if you can actually MAKE them doing anything they themselves have not already willed on their own.

    The forecasters lied again (or should I say they have kept on with their pattern of being wrong) It did not rain or thunderstorm yesterday, but later in the evening we got a drive by shower and one thunder. It is warm and humid again grass and weeds are growing very well. On the edge of my lot there is the beginning of a "woods" and it starts with an impassable boundary of "sticker" bushes. As I aimed my trusty "round up" gun and prepared to fire, I saw a bit of color in with the bushes. These were no ordinary bushes, they were blackberry bushes! I holstered my weapon and and reached in to grab a juicy specimen there in plain sight. I got poked by a sticker and then scratched mercilessly as I withdrew my thieving hand, blackberry captured! It was very good and ripe. I was a tad disappointed. I like blackberries but they are not easy to harvest. In the winter, their bare arching thorny sharp limbs will cut through all but the toughest leather and will cling to your clothes and cut like a whip with shards of sharp steel embedded in it as you try to pull away from it.

    Blackberry bush=1
    The Kid=0

    Nobody else even knows they are there.
    Now is the time to pick them but I don't have the time or a suit of armor and I wouldn't know what to do with them after I got them. I like them, but I have a jar of blackberry jam in the fridge which is easier to get to and put with peanut butter on bread.
    I must be getting lazy in my old age.
  16. InTheCone's Avatar
    I used to pick blackberries for my Grandma when I was just a wee lad and she made some sort of cobbler type creation that was just heavenly

  17. hurricat's Avatar
    That cobbler looks delicious. Yum!
  18. NavarreMark's Avatar
    Goodbye cruel world.

  19. NavarreMark's Avatar
    Or for a more detailed image of my demise.

  20. NavarreMark's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by KanKunKid
    It looks like a gully-washer train, if there were gullies in the Panhandle. I would say "frog-strangler" but I have never been comfortable using that phrase. It sounds like more of a frog on frog serial killer to me, or maybe a strangler from Britain who only strangles the French.
    In any case, you should take the necessary precautions, or as my grandmother used to tell my grandfather, "It's wet out, don't forget to wear your rubbers!" which always elicited giggles from us kids, who had a different understanding of her words, on purpose, of course. It was much funnier to picture grandpa doing his wife's bidding that way. She would see us giggle and just look at us with disgust, at first, and then shake her head and smile and mutter something under her breath about our Dad.
    I personally side with cats on the issue of venturing out in known precipitation on purpose. If I am dry, clothed and not in swimwear, I do not like to get wet. So, I plan activities or goofing off indoors. I become somewhat irritated if I am forced to go out of doors when it is raining.

    Cats seem to feel the same way, but they are not as nice as I am about it. As if you can actually MAKE them doing anything they themselves have not already willed on their own.

    The forecasters lied again (or should I say they have kept on with their pattern of being wrong) It did not rain or thunderstorm yesterday, but later in the evening we got a drive by shower and one thunder. It is warm and humid again grass and weeds are growing very well. On the edge of my lot there is the beginning of a "woods" and it starts with an impassable boundary of "sticker" bushes. As I aimed my trusty "round up" gun and prepared to fire, I saw a bit of color in with the bushes. These were no ordinary bushes, they were blackberry bushes! I holstered my weapon and and reached in to grab a juicy specimen there in plain sight. I got poked by a sticker and then scratched mercilessly as I withdrew my thieving hand, blackberry captured! It was very good and ripe. I was a tad disappointed. I like blackberries but they are not easy to harvest. In the winter, their bare arching thorny sharp limbs will cut through all but the toughest leather and will cling to your clothes and cut like a whip with shards of sharp steel embedded in it as you try to pull away from it.

    Blackberry bush=1
    The Kid=0

    Nobody else even knows they are there.
    Now is the time to pick them but I don't have the time or a suit of armor and I wouldn't know what to do with them after I got them. I like them, but I have a jar of blackberry jam in the fridge which is easier to get to and put with peanut butter on bread.
    I must be getting lazy in my old age.

    The only rubbers I ever wore were issued to me by the U.S. Army. They actually issued me to types, only Juan of them they called galloshes or something like that. Juan would help to prevent your feet from getting wet. The other would help to prevent you from pissing razor blades if you know what I mean. The thought of the old "Benjaman rod" always gave me cringes, so I always followed their advice personally. I felt that it was within the bounds of STAY SAFE/BE SAFE protocols, but I knew of many of my compodres who did not feel so bound and suffered the consequenses.

    No biggy.

    I remember being chewed out by some skank in a bar after I came back from being a young defender of American motherhood for some reason only she knew of. I was growing boored with the place anyway and I told her that "I wouldn't **** you with his ****" while pointing at some unwashed biker dude who was passed out with his face pressed in the bar blowing beer bubbles through his nose in all the beer he had spilled on the bar. I then retreated to safer locals.

    I don't know why I am telling you this.

    I guess the moral of the story is to always wear your rubbers when Juan is in a Modesto biker bar.
  21. InTheCone's Avatar
    Good Morning Bunkerites!

    I think I'll take a pass on the "rubbers" discussion and say - Happy August - It's time for a....

    NEW BLOG!

    August – The New May? - Blogs - The Weather Bunker
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