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InTheCone

August – The New May?

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by on 08-01-2018 at 07:54 AM (1747 Views)
It’s the meat of the season and many pundits point to a quiet year. The MDR is cooler than last year but still has enough warmth to support some development, and the water is plenty warm enough near the US coast.



The NHC map could stay quiet for a lot of this month, but we shall have to watch it anyway……



There’s a long way to go and the peak is still over a month away – never ignore “The Chart”!



So, on we go - will there be….



….. or…..

https://www.featurepics.com/StockIma...re-1763998.jpg

I'm all in for the later, rather than the former - we shall have to wait and see what happens!

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  1. Ossqss's Avatar
  2. Tulsahurrcane's Avatar
    That would be cool to watch for a bunch of bored weather fans. No harm wished on anyone but very cool.
  3. McBart ender's Avatar
    Well now, weren't some of us discussing a Home-Grown scenario? ...and now lookie here. What is all this in the Bay of Canned Peaches?





    Hmmmm,,, "Tail of a trough." Where have I heard that before...?
  4. Landfall2004's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by NavarreMark
    LOL. We did that too. That was Mamas idea. I had never heard of the goonies before or since that, but I saw the house for what it's worth.
    Been there, done that, have the T-shirt! (Really.)
  5. Landfall2004's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Ossqss
    Would love to see that happen---from afar!
  6. InTheCone's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Ossqss
    Oh, that happens all the time - it's the Fujiwara-blackhole eats star effect. Nobody remembers it because anyJuan that sees it has been sucked in past the event horizon and thinks it was just a passing seagull fart. Pretty much like B****e.

    Speaking of the evil B***h, poor Dr. Mark is getting a drippy reminder of that horror.
  7. InTheCone's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by McBart ender
    Well now, weren't some of us discussing a Home-Grown scenario? ...and now lookie here. What is all this in the Bay of Canned Peaches?

    Keep up the hype Barkeep - it just might work
  8. McBart ender's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by InTheCone
    Keep up the hype Barkeep - it just might work
    Just trying to stay in practice, if we ever might need it again.

    ....if.
  9. InTheCone's Avatar
    Something will happen Next Week/Month/Year - always more interestinger!
  10. McBart ender's Avatar
  11. Ossqss's Avatar
  12. Squid28's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by InTheCone
    Something will happen Next Week/Month/Year - always more interestinger!
    If you can get that “something” to happen it would be appreciated....

    We are at 745 out of a potential 800. on the drought monitor index

    United States Drought Monitor > Current Map > State Drought Monitor
  13. NavarreMark's Avatar
    It's only a matter of time before The Big Juan.

    HEADLINE: Yellowstone National Park Rattled By Largest Earthquake In 34 Years.

    https://www.scientificamerican.com/a...e-in-34-years/
  14. InTheCone's Avatar
    Good Morning Bunkerites!

    Ooof - sorry to hear that Squid - Juance those droughts get going they are so hard to break, probably going to take a long wet winter, if it happens.

    At least you don't get these(that I know of)........

  15. InTheCone's Avatar
    Morning Dr. Mark!

    Yep, it's coming, just a matter of time.

    Saw this over in Twitterville....


    ECMWF model seeing a chance for our first Cape Verde storm of 2018 to take place sometime between 8/13-8/20. This track is a bit far north for a typical system. Suggests if a storm tries to spin up, it could be quick off Africa, tho may also be quick to spin down.





  16. InTheCone's Avatar
    Maybe some hope for the parched Squid??????

    Also from Twitterville.......


    Models are keying in on a heavy rain event for eastern Texas next week; this event plus any more rain events could shift the Texas pattern cooler compared to normal this August. Something to watch.





  17. Tulsahurrcane's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by NavarreMark
    It's only a matter of time before The Big Juan.

    HEADLINE: Yellowstone National Park Rattled By Largest Earthquake In 34 Years.

    https://www.scientificamerican.com/a...e-in-34-years/
    That’s scary Mark
  18. KanKunKid's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by NavarreMark
    It's only a matter of time before The Big Juan.

    HEADLINE: Yellowstone National Park Rattled By Largest Earthquake In 34 Years.

    https://www.scientificamerican.com/a...e-in-34-years/
    I have been to Yellowstone. It's a silly place.
    It's a stinky place too.

    I never felt comfortable there, maybe because at the time, some Juan had been attacked by a bear and I was afraid to venture far from a bear-proof place. Although, there were other people around, I calculated that because mosquitoes liked my flavor, I must be delicious to the animal world. So, I would be the steak among hamburgers there and the Juan whom the bears would target first. They say bears don't attack people to eat them. But that is what people say. What do the bears say? The bears don't talk with their mouth full.

    Anyway, I wanted to see "Old Faithful" and that was about it. I was disappointed by it, when I finally did get to see it. Did you ever see a snap shot of it? It is sufficient.
    If you want to experience "Old faithful" at home, feed a bunch of large men beer and baked beans for a day, put them in an enclosed structure, after the sulphur smelling fumes are wafting about everywhere, put a couple of mentos candy in a 1 liter bottle of sprite and watch as it shoots into the air, while your nose is assaulted with the foul smell of sulphur. You can add some goofy tourists with cameras to enhance the ambience, all asking when it will go off.
    I liked the Grand Tetons. They were beautiful and didn't stink. The bears there didn't mind you gawking at the mountains either.
    I saw this movie with the "Better off dead" guy in it, where Yellowstone blows up and Woody Harrelson is standing on a mountain watching it and giving a report on a radio till a chunk of it descends upon him at high velocity and scene changes to the main character borrowing Woody's RV and running from the impending Doom at high speed, toward a waiting family with an airplane. They made it but if it was going to be flown again (legally) it would have to be inspected for multiple prop strikes and leading edge dents. Can't say as much for the Russian Antonov cargo plane full of fancy cars.
    The people made it, but the pilot and the plane and the cars didn't.

    There's a lesson there somewhere.
  19. Ossqss's Avatar
    This is something you don't see everyday!

    https://www.ktvb.com/mobile/article/....co/OfiWimk38S
  20. Landfall2004's Avatar
    Ummm.........Ok, where were the factories, power plants and cars back in 800 AD???????????? Just sayin'

    This is a study from the area around the Chichen Itza Pyramids.

    "A new study released in Science Thursday confirmed Sadloff's decades-old suspicion, and provided the first concrete data that reveals how serious the drought really was from 800 to 1,000 A.D.

    With samples taken from the sediment deposited underneath Lake Chichancanab, scientists were able to confirm a 41 to 54 percent decrease in annual precipitation over the span of 200 years. During peak drought conditions, there was nearly a 70 percent rainfall decrease, according to the study. Humidity also declined between 2 and 7 percent during that time.

    "This collapse is a well-cited example of how past climate change —in this case, drought — can disrupt a population," the study states."
  21. InTheCone's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by Ossqss
    This is something you don't see everyday!

    https://www.ktvb.com/mobile/article/....co/OfiWimk38S

    The folks over at Podunk are disavowing any knowledge of the goat stampede

    NWS Podunk@NWSPodunk 4h4 hours ago



    We've never been to Boise and you can't prove anything.

  22. Squid28's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by InTheCone
    Maybe some hope for the parched Squid??????

    Also from Twitterville.......


    Models are keying in on a heavy rain event for eastern Texas next week; this event plus any more rain events could shift the Texas pattern cooler compared to normal this August. Something to watch.





    I seriously would not know what to do if this comes true....

    Just something to ponder the next time beef is sky high, I am currently paying $80 a roll for hay, and I need 6 of them every week to keep our herd healthy. i wont even mention how much I am spending in grain right now
  23. NavarreMark's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by KanKunKid
    I have been to Yellowstone. It's a silly place.
    It's a stinky place too.

    I never felt comfortable there, maybe because at the time, some Juan had been attacked by a bear and I was afraid to venture far from a bear-proof place. Although, there were other people around, I calculated that because mosquitoes liked my flavor, I must be delicious to the animal world. So, I would be the steak among hamburgers there and the Juan whom the bears would target first. They say bears don't attack people to eat them. But that is what people say. What do the bears say? The bears don't talk with their mouth full.

    Anyway, I wanted to see "Old Faithful" and that was about it. I was disappointed by it, when I finally did get to see it. Did you ever see a snap shot of it? It is sufficient.
    If you want to experience "Old faithful" at home, feed a bunch of large men beer and baked beans for a day, put them in an enclosed structure, after the sulphur smelling fumes are wafting about everywhere, put a couple of mentos candy in a 1 liter bottle of sprite and watch as it shoots into the air, while your nose is assaulted with the foul smell of sulphur. You can add some goofy tourists with cameras to enhance the ambience, all asking when it will go off.
    I liked the Grand Tetons. They were beautiful and didn't stink. The bears there didn't mind you gawking at the mountains either.
    I saw this movie with the "Better off dead" guy in it, where Yellowstone blows up and Woody Harrelson is standing on a mountain watching it and giving a report on a radio till a chunk of it descends upon him at high velocity and scene changes to the main character borrowing Woody's RV and running from the impending Doom at high speed, toward a waiting family with an airplane. They made it but if it was going to be flown again (legally) it would have to be inspected for multiple prop strikes and leading edge dents. Can't say as much for the Russian Antonov cargo plane full of fancy cars.
    The people made it, but the pilot and the plane and the cars didn't.

    There's a lesson there somewhere.
    The times I've visited Yellowstone it was crowded with tourists. Much too crowded (Most of them were French). I guess I just don't like crowds. Then again, the sulphur smell may have been the French tourists and not the various fumoroles in the vicinity. Who knows? I know of plenty of other places in the Rockies which are nicer and nobody is around.

    During my peak bagging days I climbed 28 of the 55 Colorado fourteeners and countless thirteeners. Some of the thirteeners were the toughest to be quite honest. Dallas peak is the most memorable for me, but there were others.

    My late brother (May he rest in peace) and I made a trip to the Tetons at the beginning of September Juan year planning to bag Grand Teton. Things started out well and we established a base camp and went to bed planning to get an early start the next morning.

    The next morning the snow was 2 feet deep and still falling. We called it quits and left.

    Unfortunately I've never bagged that Juan.

    In my defense, I will say that I did some wicked peaks including Juan of the quickest climbs of McKinley ever done.

    I know folks who spent a month there and never got to the top. I was on the top in less than 3 days. I was then attempting to bum a plane ride off the glacier while my team mates were still trying to get off the glacier higher up.

    Of course they were all from California and the Northeast States so they didn't really know what they were doing and weren't acclimated to altitudes. I had done the Mexican volcanoes and a 22K ft. peak in S. America which I still can't pronounce in the prevous months, not to mention living above 11K feet in CO, so it was a piece of cake to me.

    The weather also cooperated, which is rare on McKinley.

    I guess I got lucky that time.
  24. InTheCone's Avatar
    Good Morning Bunkerites!

    Doesn't sound good Squid, I guess I'll be eating a lot of chicken

    That's what I call living the high life Dr. Mark!

    The Europeeeans are showing the possibility of a Cape Verde low - pretty far out in the time line and the water's not very warm out there - so we'll see if anything comes of it....

  25. NavarreMark's Avatar
    I was woken by rain on the roof earlier, but it immediately lulled me back to sleep.

    Rain does that to me. Not sure why. Maybe it's the indian blood I have. The indians would just stay in their lodges during unfavorable weather wondering why the stupid white men would be working outside no matter what the weather was. I kind of like the indian way myself.

    I'll be flying to CO this afternoon.
  26. InTheCone's Avatar
    Morning Dr. Mark!

    Have a great trip! I love CO, haven't been there in a looong time, but I'm going to get back.

    This looks about right for The Season so far.......

  27. StAugustineFL's Avatar
    Good evening. Thanks for the new page Cone. I've been in Iowa/Missouri the past week visiting family. Drove within arms reach of Busch Stadium on I-64 yesterday morning. That was cool but I most enjoy the stretch of I-24 between Monteagle and Chattanooga, TN in K-cubed territory.
  28. Landfall2004's Avatar
    Quote Originally Posted by StAugustineFL
    Good evening. Thanks for the new page Cone. I've been in Iowa/Missouri the past week visiting family. Drove within arms reach of Busch Stadium on I-64 yesterday morning. That was cool but I most enjoy the stretch of I-24 between Monteagle and Chattanooga, TN in K-cubed territory.
    .............and you had a Birthday!!!!
  29. InTheCone's Avatar
    Good Morning Bunkerites!

    I always enjoyed driving through the Chattanooga area as well, except when it was icy - then it was pretty scary

    97L is a pitiful thing out in the central ATL - probably will get a name......

  30. hurricat's Avatar
    So nekkid! Poor little thing.....
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